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2022 Isubiramo na 2023 Icyerekezo cyo Kubika Ingufu Zituye i Burayi

Kuva mu 2021, isoko ry’iburayi ryagize ingaruka ku izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ingufu, igiciro cy’amashanyarazi yo guturamo cyazamutse vuba, kandi ubukungu bwo kubika ingufu bwaragaragaye, kandi isoko riratera imbere.Urebye mu 2022, amakimbirane hagati y'Uburusiya na Ukraine yakajije umurego mu guhangayika.Bitewe no kumva ibibazo, icyifuzo cyo kubika ingufu zo murugo kizakomeza kwiyongera.Dutegereje 2023, guhindura ingufu kwisi ni inzira rusange, kandi imbaraga zo murugo kwifashisha ninzira nyamukuru.Igiciro cy’amashanyarazi ku isi cyinjiye mu muyoboro uzamuka, ubukungu bwo kubika ingufu mu ngo bwaragaragaye, kandi umwanya w’isoko uzakomeza kwiyongera mu bihe biri imbere.

Dushubije amaso inyuma kuri 2022:

Ikibazo cy’ingufu z’i Burayi, ubwiyongere bwihuse bwo kubika ingufu zo mu rugo

Umubare munini wububiko bwingufu zo murugo ukoreshwa ufatanije na fotokolotike yo murugo.Muri 2015, buri mwaka ubushobozi bushya bwo kubika ingufu zo murugo ku isi bwari hafi 200MW gusa.Muri 2020, ubushobozi bushya bwashyizweho ku isi bwageze kuri 1.2GW, umwaka ushize kwiyongera 30%.

Mu 2021, isoko ry’iburayi rizagira ingaruka ku izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ingufu, kandi igiciro cy’amashanyarazi ku baturage kizamuka vuba.Ubukungu bwo kubika ingufu buzagaragazwa, kandi isoko rizatera imbere.Dufashe Ubudage nk'urugero, 145.000 by'amashanyarazi yo mu rugo yongewemo mu 2021, afite ubushobozi bwa 1.268GWh, umwaka ushize wiyongera + 49%.

Igishushanyo: Ubushobozi bushya bwo kubika ingufu zo murugo mubudage (MWh)

kubika ingufu1

Igishushanyo: Kwiyongera gushya kwa sisitemu yo kubika ingufu murugo mubudage (ingo 10,000)

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Impamvu yo kuzamuka kwihuse mu kubika ingufu z’urugo mu Burayi mu 2022 ituruka ku gusaba ubwigenge bw’ingufu bitewe n’amakimbirane y’Uburusiya na Ukraine ndetse n'izamuka ry’ibiciro by’amashanyarazi ryazamuye ubukungu bwo kubika ingufu z’urugo.

Kwishingikiriza cyane ku mbaraga z’amahanga byazanye ikibazo cy’ingufu, kandi amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine yongereye impungenge z’ingufu.Dukurikije “BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook”, ingufu z’ibinyabuzima zifite igice kinini cy’imiterere y’ingufu z’i Burayi, naho gaze gasanzwe igera kuri 25%.Byongeye kandi, gaze gasanzwe itunzwe cyane n’ibihugu by’amahanga, kandi hafi 80% iva mu miyoboro itumizwa mu mahanga na gaze ya gazi isanzwe, muri yo imiyoboro yatumijwe mu Burusiya gaze gasanzwe ifite metero kibe miliyari 13 ku munsi, bingana na 29% by’ibicuruzwa byose.

Kubera amakimbirane ya politiki, Uburusiya bwahagaritse gutanga gaze gasanzwe mu Burayi, bubangamira itangwa ry’ingufu mu Burayi.Mu rwego rwo kugabanya ingufu z’Uburusiya no kubungabunga umutekano w’ingufu, guverinoma z’Uburayi zashyizeho politiki yo guteza imbere ingufu zisukuye no kwihutisha umuvuduko wo guhindura ingufu kugira ngo itange ingufu.

Igishushanyo: Imiterere yo gukoresha ingufu zi Burayi

kubika ingufu3Impamvu yo kuzamuka kwihuse mu kubika ingufu z’urugo mu Burayi mu 2022 ituruka ku gusaba ubwigenge bw’ingufu bitewe n’amakimbirane y’Uburusiya na Ukraine ndetse n'izamuka ry’ibiciro by’amashanyarazi ryazamuye ubukungu bwo kubika ingufu z’urugo.

Kwishingikiriza cyane ku mbaraga z’amahanga byazanye ikibazo cy’ingufu, kandi amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine yongereye impungenge z’ingufu.Dukurikije “BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook”, ingufu z’ibinyabuzima zifite igice kinini cy’imiterere y’ingufu z’i Burayi, naho gaze gasanzwe igera kuri 25%.Byongeye kandi, gaze gasanzwe itunzwe cyane n’ibihugu by’amahanga, kandi hafi 80% iva mu miyoboro itumizwa mu mahanga na gaze ya gazi isanzwe, muri yo imiyoboro yatumijwe mu Burusiya gaze gasanzwe ifite metero kibe miliyari 13 ku munsi, bingana na 29% by’ibicuruzwa byose.

Kubera amakimbirane ya politiki, Uburusiya bwahagaritse gutanga gaze gasanzwe mu Burayi, bubangamira itangwa ry’ingufu mu Burayi.Mu rwego rwo kugabanya ingufu z’Uburusiya no kubungabunga umutekano w’ingufu, guverinoma z’Uburayi zashyizeho politiki yo guteza imbere ingufu zisukuye no kwihutisha umuvuduko wo guhindura ingufu kugira ngo itange ingufu.

Igishushanyo: Imiterere yo gukoresha ingufu zi Burayi

kubika ingufu4

Impamvu yo kuzamuka kwihuse mu kubika ingufu z’urugo mu Burayi mu 2022 ituruka ku gusaba ubwigenge bw’ingufu bitewe n’amakimbirane y’Uburusiya na Ukraine ndetse n'izamuka ry’ibiciro by’amashanyarazi ryazamuye ubukungu bwo kubika ingufu z’urugo.

Kwishingikiriza cyane ku mbaraga z’amahanga byazanye ikibazo cy’ingufu, kandi amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine yongereye impungenge z’ingufu.Dukurikije “BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook”, ingufu z’ibinyabuzima zifite igice kinini cy’imiterere y’ingufu z’i Burayi, naho gaze gasanzwe igera kuri 25%.Byongeye kandi, gaze gasanzwe itunzwe cyane n’ibihugu by’amahanga, kandi hafi 80% iva mu miyoboro itumizwa mu mahanga na gaze ya gazi isanzwe, muri yo imiyoboro yatumijwe mu Burusiya gaze gasanzwe ifite metero kibe miliyari 13 ku munsi, bingana na 29% by’ibicuruzwa byose.

Kubera amakimbirane ya politiki, Uburusiya bwahagaritse gutanga gaze gasanzwe mu Burayi, bubangamira itangwa ry’ingufu mu Burayi.Mu rwego rwo kugabanya ingufu z’Uburusiya no kubungabunga umutekano w’ingufu, guverinoma z’Uburayi zashyizeho politiki yo guteza imbere ingufu zisukuye no kwihutisha umuvuduko wo guhindura ingufu kugira ngo itange ingufu.

Igishushanyo: Imiterere yo gukoresha ingufu zi Burayi

kubika ingufu5

Ibiciro byingufu zingirakamaro kwisi byinjira kumuyoboro uzamuka

Ubukungu bwo kubika ingufu murugo birasobanutse

Ibiciro by'amashanyarazi atuye bigizwe ahanini nigiciro cyingufu, amafaranga yo kugera kuri gride, hamwe n’imisoro n’amafaranga ajyanye nabyo, muri byo ikiguzi cy’ingufu (ni ukuvuga ibiciro by’amashanyarazi kuri gride y’amashanyarazi) bingana na 1/3 cy’igiciro cy’amashanyarazi.Ibiciro by'ingufu byazamutse muri uyu mwaka, bituma ibiciro by'amashanyarazi bizamuka.

Ibiciro by'amashanyarazi atuye bikoresha uburyo bwa buri mwaka bwo gupakira, kandi hariho gutinda mugukwirakwiza ibiciro by'amashanyarazi, ariko inzira yo kuzamuka kw'ibiciro by'amashanyarazi iragaragara.Kugeza ubu, igiciro cy’ibikoresho by’umwaka umwe w’amashanyarazi ku baturage bo ku isoko ry’Ubudage cyazamutse kigera kuri 0.7 euro / kwh.Igiciro kinini cy’amashanyarazi cyashishikarije abaturage kugera ku bwigenge bw’ingufu no kuzigama fagitire y’amashanyarazi bashiraho uburyo bwo kubika amashanyarazi mu rugo.

Kubara ubushobozi bwashyizweho bwo gukwirakwiza amafoto yerekana amashanyarazi ukurikije umubare w ingo, tekereza igipimo cyinjira mububiko bwingufu zo murugo kugirango ubone umubare wabitswemo ingufu zurugo, hanyuma ufate ubushobozi buringaniye bwashyizweho kuri buri rugo kugirango ubone ubushobozi bwashyizweho bwo kubika ingufu zurugo muri isi no ku masoko atandukanye.Turateganya ko umwanya w’ububiko bw’ingufu zo mu rugo ku isi uzagera kuri 57.66GWh mu 2025, hamwe n’ubwiyongere bw’ubwiyongere bwa 91% kuva 2021 kugeza 2025. Muri bo, isoko ry’iburayi niryo rinini, rifite ubushobozi bushya bwa 41.09GWh muri 2025 , hamwe n'ubwiyongere bw'ubwiyongere bwa 112%;Ubushobozi bwiyongereyeho bwari 7.90GWh, hamwe niterambere ryiyongera rya 71%.

Inzira yo kubika ingufu zo murugo yiswe inzira ya zahabu ninganda.Imbaraga zingenzi ziterambere ryihuta ryububiko bwingufu zurugo zituruka kukubika ingufu murugo bishobora kuzamura imikorere yamashanyarazi ubwayo kandi bikagabanya ibiciro byubukungu.Bitewe n’ifaranga ry’ingufu ku isi n’amakimbirane ya geopolitike mu turere tumwe na tumwe, ububiko bw’ingufu zo mu rugo ku isi bwakanze buto yihuta kugira ngo iterambere.

Bitewe n’iterambere ryinshi mu bubiko bw’urugo rw’i Burayi, abayikora benshi basutse mu nganda zibika ingufu mu ngo, kandi ibigo bimwe byungukiye byimazeyo izamuka ry’inganda zibika ingufu mu ngo.Ababyungukiyemo byinshi ni ibigo byinjiye muri sisitemu yo kubika ingufu zo murugo, bateri, na inverter mbere, kandi byageze kuri geometrike mu mikorere.


Igihe cyo kohereza: Ugushyingo-25-2022